TOR
3–7
TBL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 0-1
3–7
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
010210111331
TBL
31531415734
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–1
TOR 0-1 · TBL 1-0 · Game 1 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Lightning
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.9 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 3–7. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.7 xG · 31 shots
TBL 3.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
2nd
1.0 · 2.0
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 01:18 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 07:18 · 0–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:56 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 08:06 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:11 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:29 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 17:54 · 2–5 · poke shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brayden Point · 2nd 19:58 · 2–6 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 06:59 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 08:06 · 3–7 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 32.
TOR 32%TBL 68%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 1st 01:18 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 07:18 · 0–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:56 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 08:06 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:11 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:29 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 17:54 · PP · 2–5
Poke shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brayden Point · 2nd 19:58 · PP · 2–6
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 06:59 · 2–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 08:06 · 3–7
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/5 saves · 1 GA · 0.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
