TOR
7–2
TBL
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1
7–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
31231718737
TBL
081915222
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
TOR 1-1 · TBL 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Lightning
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 1.9, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
TOR 4.8 xG · 37 shots
TBL 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.7 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
2.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 00:47 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 12:45 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:08 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ian Cole · 2nd 08:58 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 13:14 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
· 2nd 15:52 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
7
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:02 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 12:38 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
John Tavares · 3rd 15:06 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 87.
TOR 87%TBL 13%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 00:47 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 12:45 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ian Cole · 2nd 08:58 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 13:14 · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
· 2nd 15:52 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
7
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:02 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 12:38 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
John Tavares · 3rd 15:06 · PP · 7–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/37 saves · 7 GA · 4.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
