TOR
4–6
BUF
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-4-2
4–6
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 6-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11211026428
BUF
112214315641
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 5-4-2 · BUF 6-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Sabres
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.9 to 3.3 expected goals) and lost 4–6. Joseph Woll allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 41 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 3.3 xG · 28 shots
BUF 3.9 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 06:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
· 2nd 11:56 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 00:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 03:11 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:26 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:48 · 4–5 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:54 · 4–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 42.
TOR 42%BUF 58%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:05 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:13 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 06:28 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:22 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
· 2nd 11:56 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 00:17 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 03:11 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:26 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:48 · GWG · 4–5
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:54 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
