TOR
2–5
NYR
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 16-7-6
2–5
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 22-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
05117111233
NYR
011214311536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 16-7-6 · NYR 22-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Rangers
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–5. Martin Jones allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 33 and 36 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 33 shots
NYR 2.1 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 06:11 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 07:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 09:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 01:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Braden Schneider · 3rd 08:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 15:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 16:47 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 51.
TOR 51%NYR 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 06:11 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 07:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 09:50 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 01:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Braden Schneider · 3rd 08:08 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 15:08 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 16:47 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Jonny Brodzinski, Erik Gustafsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
