TOR 2–1 NYI Final · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Wed, Sep 30, 2026 · 2026-27 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1-0
2–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT TOR 21001204226 NYI 0110818127 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 1-1-0 · NYI 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0

Maple Leafs beat the Islanders

The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Anthony Stolarz stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Video opens on NHL.com.
★ NHL first starAnthony Stolarz TOR · G · #41 SV% .963 · 26 saves

Who had the better chances

The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 26 and 27 shots on goal.

TOR 3.6 xG · 26 shots NYI 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing 1.9 · 0.9
3rd 0.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 64.
TOR 64%NYI 36%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 8 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Islanders shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Nick Paul, Easton Cowan · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
PEN
10:01 Victor Eklund· Cross-checking
Cowan scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
2
11:55 Easton Cowan PPGWG
Jack Roslovic, Morgan Rielly · Power play (Eklund, cross-checking) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
PEN
15:25 Matthew Schaefer· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
03:41 John Tavares· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
08:35 Nick Paul· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:14 Brayden Schenn· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
06:59 Kirill Marchenko· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:50 Jake McCabe· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:32 Matias Maccelli· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
14:09 Emil Heineman SH
Bo Horvat · snap shot, a good chance (23%)

NHL three stars

the league's pick
Goaltending
+1.9
vs expected
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.3
vs expected
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team TORNYI
Shots on goal
26
27
Expected goals
3.6
2.7
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
60%
40%
Power play
1/4
0/4
Penalty minutes
8
8
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 4 Islanders power plays.

Box score

xG and GSAx are Inside the Game numbers
ForwardsGAP+/−PIMSHitsBlkTOIShiftsFO%PPGGVTKxG
34Auston MatthewsA. MatthewsC000−1010020:042062%0000.1
Kirill MarchenkoK. MarchenkoRW000−1230018:1620—0100.4
88William NylanderW. NylanderRW000−1010017:2917—0100.1
91John TavaresJ. TavaresC000−1210016:581738%0010.1
20Nick PaulN. PaulLW011+1210015:431967%0000.1
92Gavin McKennaG. McKennaLW0000010015:3216—0110.0
96Jack RoslovicJ. RoslovicC0110020014:5319100%0000.0
24Brandon DuhaimeB. DuhaimeLW0000020014:3921—0300.1
53Easton CowanE. CowanRW112+1030013:2318—1300.3
73Teddy BluegerT. BluegerC0000000012:321760%0100.0
15Colton SissonsC. SissonsC101+1020011:221658%0101.1
29Bo GroulxB. GroulxC000001009:491350%0000.0
DefenseGAP+/−PIMSHitsBlkTOIShiftsFO%PPGGVTKxG
8Chris TanevC. TanevD0000000020:3927—0110.0
43Darren RaddyshD. RaddyshD000−1040020:3620—0100.3
22Jake McCabeJ. McCabeD0000210020:1926—0100.0
44Morgan RiellyM. RiellyD0110010019:4921—0110.2
28Troy StecherT. StecherD000+1000016:0524—0000.0
95Oliver Ekman-LarssonO. Ekman-LarssonD000+1020015:3024—0000.8
GoaliesSavesSAGASv%EVPPSHTOIGSGSAx
41Anthony StolarzA. StolarzG26271.96323/232/21/258:22✓+1.9
EV / PP / SH = saves on shots at even strength, on the opponent's power play, and shorthanded. GS = started. A dash means the stat isn't on file for that player or game. Showing the short set. Tap "All columns" to scroll through every stat inside this card.

Last night's Cap Challenge

7 squads played
RO
GoalsRyan Otto
0 goals · $11.3M
RO
AssistsRyan Otto
2 assists · $6.2M
RO
PointsRyan Otto
1 pts · $18.6M
RO
ShotsRyan Otto
2 shots · $11.1M
RO
HitsRyan Otto
9 hits · $4.7M
RO
BlocksRyan Otto
1 blocks · $6.4M
RO
GoaliesRyan Otto
48 saves · $10.5M
Calum Ritchie was on 1 squad. Build tonight's squad → See the leaderboards →