UTA
4–1
CAR
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 7-6-3
4–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 11-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
180538421
CAR
015117018150
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
UTA 7-6-3 · CAR 11-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
Mammoth beat the Hurricanes
The Mammoth were outchanced (5.9 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Karel Vejmelka stopped 4.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 50 and 21 shots on goal.
UTA 2.0 xG · 21 shots
CAR 5.9 xG · 50 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 2.5
3rd
1.2 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 17:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:04 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jack McBain · 3rd 05:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 07:11 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nick Bjugstad · 3rd 07:28 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 8.
UTA 8%CAR 92%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 17:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:04 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jack McBain · 3rd 05:09 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 07:11 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nick Bjugstad · 3rd 07:28 · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Shayne Gostisbehere, Sebastian Aho · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
49/50 saves · 1 GA · 5.9 xGA
Stopped 4.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
