Utah Mammoth
UTA · 7-7-3
2–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 11-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
11611006232
VGK
0919311429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 7-7-3 · VGK 11-4-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Golden Knights
The Mammoth let a 2–0 lead get away: the Golden Knights came back with four unanswered goals — Hertl's equalizer — and won 2–4. Adin Hill stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
UTA 3.5 xG · 32 shots
VGK 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 11:16 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 06:59 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 13:37 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 08:23 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
William Karlsson · 3rd 18:42 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:31 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 62.
UTA 62%VGK 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 11:16 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 06:59 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 13:37 · PP · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 08:23 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
William Karlsson · 3rd 18:42 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:31 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.