UTA
3–4
EDM
Final / OT · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 9-10-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
2120101900331
EDM
053701713432
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
UTA 9-10-4 · EDM 12-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
Mammoth fell to the Oilers
The Mammoth let a 2–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with four unanswered goals — Draisaitl's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Nugent-Hopkins's goal. The Oilers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
UTA 2.6 xG · 31 shots
EDM 3.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 06:17 · 1–0 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:15 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 09:44 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 14:01 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 16:22 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 03:42 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · OT 01:18 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 41.
UTA 41%EDM 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 06:17 · 1–0
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:15 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 09:44 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 14:01 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 16:22 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 03:42 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · OT 01:18 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2
Juuso Välimäki, Robert Bortuzzo · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
