Utah Mammoth
UTA · 12-11-5
4–5
Final / SOL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 19-5-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
UTA
150739040425
MIN
01721028031538
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
UTA 12-11-5 · MIN 19-5-4 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
Mammoth fell to the Wild
The Mammoth were outchanced (4.2 to 3.5 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. The Mammoth scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.5, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
UTA 3.5 xG · 25 shots
MIN 4.2 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.9
OT
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 13:46 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Marat Khusnutdinov · 2nd 14:25 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 15:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Clayton Keller · 3rd 04:42 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 05:39 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (51%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 09:54 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Juuso Välimäki · 3rd 11:45 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Marco Rossi · 3rd 19:16 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 40.
UTA 40%MIN 60%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 13:46 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Marat Khusnutdinov · 2nd 14:25 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 15:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Clayton Keller · 3rd 04:42 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 05:39 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (51%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 09:54 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Juuso Välimäki · 3rd 11:45 · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Marco Rossi · 3rd 19:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.