Utah Mammoth
UTA · 16-11-6
4–5
Final / SOL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 13-15-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
UTA
292807010425
ANA
1911128021530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 16-11-6 · ANA 13-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Ducks
The Mammoth let a 4–1 lead get away: the Ducks came back with three unanswered goals — Leason's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Jaxson Stauber allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 25 and 30 shots on goal.
UTA 3.8 xG · 25 shots
ANA 2.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Clayton Keller · 1st 01:26 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Robby Fabbri · 1st 04:56 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 1st 16:09 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Logan Cooley · 2nd 02:39 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Clayton Keller · 2nd 05:57 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
6
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 10:49 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 12:35 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (32%)
8
Brett Leason · 3rd 15:15 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 75.
UTA 75%ANA 25%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Clayton Keller · 1st 01:26 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Robby Fabbri · 1st 04:56 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 1st 16:09 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Logan Cooley · 2nd 02:39 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Clayton Keller · 2nd 05:57 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
6
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 10:49 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 12:35 · 4–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (32%)
8
Brett Leason · 3rd 15:15 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Ducks
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.