UTA
1–4
COL
Final · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 16-13-6
1–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 22-15-0
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
01107117135
COL
014111312437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
UTA 16-13-6 · COL 22-15-0 · Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
Mammoth fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.3 expected goals); the Mammoth lost 1–4. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 37 shots on goal.
UTA 3.2 xG · 35 shots
COL 3.3 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
1.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 11:52 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:42 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 14:44 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:34 · 1–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 48.
UTA 48%COL 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 11:52 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:42 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 14:44 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:10 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 1–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Valeri Nichushkin, Nathan MacKinnon · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
