Utah Mammoth
UTA · 19-19-7
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 22-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
3171907433
STL
161909224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
UTA 19-19-7 · STL 22-21-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
Mammoth beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.4 expected goals); the Mammoth won 4–2. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 24 shots on goal.
UTA 2.5 xG · 33 shots
STL 2.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Tucker · 1st 02:05 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Michael Kesselring · 1st 06:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Schmaltz · 1st 08:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Clayton Keller · 1st 10:31 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 01:32 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
6
Logan Cooley · 2nd 10:42 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 52.
UTA 52%STL 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Tucker · 1st 02:05 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Michael Kesselring · 1st 06:06 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Schmaltz · 1st 08:25 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Clayton Keller · 1st 10:31 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Jake Neighbours · 2nd 01:32 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
6
Logan Cooley · 2nd 10:42 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.