Utah Mammoth
UTA · 20-19-7
5–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 31-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
01021038528
WPG
0110628225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 20-19-7 · WPG 31-14-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.1 expected goals); the Mammoth won 5–2. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
UTA 2.3 xG · 28 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Olli Maatta · 2nd 16:00 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Logan Cooley · 2nd 19:42 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 3rd 04:53 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 08:04 · 4–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:32 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Dylan DeMelo · 3rd 11:48 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Clayton Keller · 3rd 17:55 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 54.
UTA 54%WPG 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Olli Maatta · 2nd 16:00 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Logan Cooley · 2nd 19:42 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 3rd 04:53 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 08:04 · 4–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:32 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Dylan DeMelo · 3rd 11:48 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Clayton Keller · 3rd 17:55 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.