Utah Mammoth
UTA · 21-21-8
2–3
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 21-24-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
112170901229
PIT
041151911329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 21-21-8 · PIT 21-24-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.0 expected goals); the Mammoth lost it in overtime on Crosby's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.
UTA 2.9 xG · 29 shots
PIT 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 14:51 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 06:40 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Carcone · 2nd 08:36 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 06:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · OT 03:54 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 48.
UTA 48%PIT 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 14:51 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Marcus Pettersson · 2nd 06:40 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Carcone · 2nd 08:36 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 06:17 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · OT 03:54 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.