UTA
3–2
PHI
Final / OT · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 22-22-9
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 23-25-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
01211311215342
PHI
110140501220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
UTA 22-22-9 · PHI 23-25-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
Mammoth beat the Flyers
The Mammoth earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, and they won it in overtime on Guenther's goal. Samuel Ersson stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 42 and 20 shots on goal.
UTA 4.1 xG · 42 shots
PHI 1.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
OT
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rodrigo Abols · 1st 02:02 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:32 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 04:29 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 08:40 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · OT 04:59 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 81.
UTA 81%PHI 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rodrigo Abols · 1st 02:02 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:32 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 04:29 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 08:40 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · OT 04:59 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
