Utah Mammoth
UTA · 27-24-9
6–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 34-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
29111311631
MIN
061802116
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 3–1
UTA 27-24-9 · MIN 34-21-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 3–1
Mammoth beat the Wild
The Mammoth earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 16 shots on goal.
UTA 3.5 xG · 31 shots
MIN 2.1 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Barrett Hayton · 1st 03:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 19:30 · 2–0 · slap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 16:02 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Sean Durzi · 2nd 17:50 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:47 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 09:30 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Logan Cooley · 3rd 15:01 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 73.
UTA 73%MIN 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Barrett Hayton · 1st 03:59 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 19:30 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 16:02 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Sean Durzi · 2nd 17:50 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:47 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 09:30 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Logan Cooley · 3rd 15:01 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/16 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.