UTA
3–4
TOR
Final / SO · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 28-25-11
3–4
Final / SOL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 39-22-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
UTA
04315010040333
TOR
2131704021426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 28-25-11 · TOR 39-22-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Maple Leafs
The Mammoth created the better chances (3.6 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. The Mammoth owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
UTA 3.6 xG · 33 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
OT
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 12:42 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 19:38 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Simon Benoit · 2nd 04:48 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael Carcone · 2nd 08:14 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 09:03 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 12:11 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 65.
UTA 65%TOR 35%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 12:42 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 19:38 · PP · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Simon Benoit · 2nd 04:48 · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael Carcone · 2nd 08:14 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 09:03 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 12:11 · PP · 3–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
