UTA
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 31-27-11
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-34-6
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
110111310531
BUF
1120817227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
UTA 31-27-11 · BUF 27-34-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 2–0
Mammoth beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.3 expected goals); the Mammoth won 5–2. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
UTA 3.6 xG · 31 shots
BUF 3.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:27 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 19:49 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 11:50 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 01:32 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 14:13 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 18:50 · 4–2 · into an empty net
7
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 19:41 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 54.
UTA 54%BUF 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:27 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 19:49 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 11:50 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 01:32 · SH · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 14:13 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 4–2
into an empty net
7
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Barrett Hayton, Michael Carcone · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
