Utah Mammoth
UTA · 35-30-12
4–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 52-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
11121116428
WPG
07012114133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
UTA 35-30-12 · WPG 52-21-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Mammoth beat the Jets
The Mammoth were outchanced (3.8 to 3.2 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Karel Vejmelka stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
UTA 3.2 xG · 28 shots
WPG 3.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Clayton Keller · 1st 04:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 00:57 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 16:57 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 02:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Bjugstad · 3rd 17:19 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 41.
UTA 41%WPG 59%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Clayton Keller · 1st 04:24 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 00:57 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 16:57 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 02:45 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Bjugstad · 3rd 17:19 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.