UTA
3–4
NSH
Final / SO · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 36-30-13
3–4
Final / SOL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 29-42-8
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
UTA
011211119010342
NSH
05113211021431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 36-30-13 · NSH 29-42-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Predators
The Mammoth let a 2–0 lead get away: the Predators came back with three unanswered goals — Forsberg's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Juuse Saros stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 42 and 31 shots on goal.
UTA 4.2 xG · 42 shots
NSH 3.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.5 · 1.3
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 04:49 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Josh Doan · 2nd 13:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 17:21 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:17 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 05:42 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 65.
UTA 65%NSH 35%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 04:49 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Josh Doan · 2nd 13:54 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 17:21 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:19 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:17 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 05:42 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Jonathan Marchessault, Ryan O'Reilly · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Predators
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
