UTA
4–3
COL
Final / OT · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 5-2-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-0-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
0102151711433
COL
1130721300333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 5-2-0 · COL 5-0-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.3 expected goals); the Mammoth won it in overtime on Guenther's goal. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 33 shots on goal.
UTA 2.5 xG · 33 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 05:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 09:17 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 12:30 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jack Drury · 3rd 01:10 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 05:20 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:44 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Guenther · OT 00:33 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 53.
UTA 53%COL 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 05:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 09:17 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 12:30 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jack Drury · 3rd 01:10 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 3rd 05:20 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:44 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Guenther · OT 00:33 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–2
Overtime
7
Clayton Keller, Mikhail Sergachev · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
