UTA
3–4
NSH
Final · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 18-19-3
3–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 17-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
111110110331
NSH
1719210426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 18-19-3 · NSH 17-17-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth fell to the Predators
The Mammoth created the better chances (3.6 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Vitek Vanecek allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
UTA 3.6 xG · 31 shots
NSH 2.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 05:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 09:51 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:41 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 07:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 04:02 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 11:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:17 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 72.
UTA 72%NSH 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 05:48 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 09:51 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:41 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 07:51 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 04:02 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 11:39 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:17 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
