Utah Mammoth
UTA · 21-20-3
3–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
290517321
OTT
17014012133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 21-20-3 · OTT 20-17-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Mammoth won 3–1. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 21 and 33 shots on goal.
UTA 2.8 xG · 21 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lawson Crouse · 1st 03:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Marino · 1st 07:20 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 17:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Daniil But · 3rd 05:41 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 48.
UTA 48%OTT 52%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lawson Crouse · 1st 03:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Marino · 1st 07:20 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 17:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Daniil But · 3rd 05:41 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.