UTA
5–4
PHI
Final / OT · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 26-20-4
5–4
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 23-17-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
072102911527
PHI
2142100500429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
UTA 26-20-4 · PHI 23-17-9 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
Mammoth beat the Flyers
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Mammoth erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Keller's equalizer with 0:35 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Keller's goal. Samuel Ersson allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
UTA 3.0 xG · 27 shots
PHI 4.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 2.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cam York · 1st 00:30 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Christian Dvorak · 1st 04:36 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Bobby Brink · 2nd 00:58 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 06:11 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 10:28 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 12:47 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 19:25 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Clayton Keller · OT 02:01 · 5–4 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 32.
UTA 32%PHI 68%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cam York · 1st 00:30 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Christian Dvorak · 1st 04:36 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Bobby Brink · 2nd 00:58 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 06:11 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 10:28 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 12:47 · PP · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 19:25 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Clayton Keller · OT 02:01 · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Nick Schmaltz, Mikhail Sergachev · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–4
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
