Utah Mammoth
UTA · 28-23-4
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 32-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
150514214
DAL
310011011332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
UTA 28-23-4 · DAL 32-14-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
Mammoth fell to the Stars
The Mammoth were outchanced (3.2 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–3. The Stars scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 32 and 14 shots on goal.
UTA 1.9 xG · 14 shots
DAL 3.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
0.4 · 0.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 02:11 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 07:42 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 10:23 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 16:37 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 06:41 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 28.
UTA 28%DAL 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 02:11 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 07:42 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 10:23 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 16:37 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 06:41 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.