UTA
2–4
COL
Final · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 30-24-4
2–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 38-9-9
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
0829013230
COL
0941403426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–3
UTA 30-24-4 · COL 38-9-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–3
Mammoth fell to the Avalanche
The Mammoth created the better chances (2.8 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
UTA 2.8 xG · 30 shots
COL 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Parker Kelly · 2nd 03:26 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 09:13 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 10:49 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 12:20 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 13:20 · 2–3 · slap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 17:17 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 62.
UTA 62%COL 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Parker Kelly · 2nd 03:26 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 09:13 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 10:49 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 12:20 · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 13:20 · 2–3
Slap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 17:17 · PP · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
