UTA
4–1
NSH
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 42-30-6
4–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 37-32-10
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
1916212427
NSH
07012111130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 3–1
UTA 42-30-6 · NSH 37-32-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 3–1
Mammoth beat the Predators
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.5 expected goals); the Mammoth won 4–1. Karel Vejmelka stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.5, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
UTA 3.1 xG · 27 shots
NSH 3.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 14:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 05:35 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 03:03 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 06:05 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 10:22 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 44.
UTA 44%NSH 56%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 14:26 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 05:35 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 03:03 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 06:05 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 10:22 · PP · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
