Utah Mammoth
UTA · 42-31-6
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 52-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
0807112127
CAR
21205212429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 42-31-6 · CAR 52-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Hurricanes
The Mammoth were outchanced (2.8 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Hurricanes owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
UTA 2.2 xG · 27 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 04:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 13:23 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 02:42 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 15:31 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 19:37 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 38.
UTA 38%CAR 62%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 04:25 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 13:23 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 02:42 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 15:31 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.