UTA
3–5
STL
Final · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 43-33-6
3–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 37-33-12
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
1921103323
STL
11127211529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
UTA 43-33-6 · STL 37-33-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Mammoth fell to the Blues
The Mammoth were outchanced (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Mailloux's winner came with 2:57 left. Joel Hofer allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
UTA 1.7 xG · 23 shots
STL 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Michael Carcone · 1st 16:55 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 00:45 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 08:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Robert Thomas · 2nd 11:07 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 18:52 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Logan Mailloux · 3rd 17:03 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:22 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 35.
UTA 35%STL 65%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 03:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Michael Carcone · 1st 16:55 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 00:45 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 08:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Robert Thomas · 2nd 11:07 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 18:52 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Logan Mailloux · 3rd 17:03 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
MacKenzie Weegar, Clayton Keller · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
7
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/10 saves · 1 GA · 0.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
