UTA
4–2
VGK
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 2-1
4–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
262501412
VGK
01311019232
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Mammoth lead the series 2–1
UTA 2-1 · VGK 1-2 · Game 3 — the Mammoth lead the series 2–1
Mammoth beat the Golden Knights
The Mammoth were outchanced (4.2 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Carter Hart allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 12 shots on goal.
UTA 1.8 xG · 12 shots
VGK 4.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 12:59 · 1–0 · slap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 17:45 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 04:06 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 09:48 · 4–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 13:20 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 16:52 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 17.
UTA 17%VGK 83%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 12:59 · 1–0
Slap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 17:45 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 04:06 · GWG · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 09:48 · 4–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 13:20 · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 16:52 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Ivan Barbashev, Mark Stone · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/12 saves · 4 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
