VAN
4–3
CAR
Final · W
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 18-9-1
4–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
1132813424
CAR
0727110324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canucks lead the season series 1–0
VAN 18-9-1 · CAR 14-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Canucks lead the season series 1–0
Canucks beat the Hurricanes
The Canucks were outchanced (3.4 to 2.7 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Antti Raanta allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 24 and 24 shots on goal.
VAN 2.7 xG · 24 shots
CAR 3.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Lafferty · 1st 06:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 06:54 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 07:23 · 2–1 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
4
J.T. Miller · 2nd 13:46 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brady Skjei · 2nd 19:04 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 02:10 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (51%)
7
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 03:29 · 4–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 40.
VAN 40%CAR 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canucks shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Lafferty · 1st 06:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 06:54 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 07:23 · 2–1
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
4
J.T. Miller · 2nd 13:46 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brady Skjei · 2nd 19:04 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 02:10 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (51%)
7
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 03:29 · GWG · 4–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Ilya Mikheyev, Filip Hronek · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
