Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 31-11-4
6–4
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 22-14-8
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
391626621
TOR
09318119446
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VAN 31-11-4 · TOR 22-14-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canucks beat the Maple Leafs
The Canucks were outchanced (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Martin Jones allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 46 and 21 shots on goal.
VAN 2.5 xG · 21 shots
TOR 3.2 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 03:06 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 1st 06:00 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Conor Garland · 1st 12:58 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:53 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jake McCabe · 2nd 07:26 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 08:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Conor Garland · 2nd 19:00 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:13 · 4–4 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (25%)
9
J.T. Miller · 3rd 07:11 · 5–4 · deflected shot, a great chance (27%)
10
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 10:42 · 6–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 39.
VAN 39%TOR 61%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 03:06 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 1st 06:00 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Conor Garland · 1st 12:58 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:53 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jake McCabe · 2nd 07:26 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 08:19 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Conor Garland · 2nd 19:00 · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:13 · SH · 4–4
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (25%)
9
J.T. Miller · 3rd 07:11 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Deflected shot, a great chance (27%)
10
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 10:42 · PP · 6–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/21 saves · 6 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.