Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 42-17-8
3–4
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 42-20-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VAN
261120300321
COL
0611021711434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canucks trail the season series 0–3
VAN 42-17-8 · COL 42-20-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canucks trail the season series 0–3
Canucks fell to the Avalanche
The Canucks let a 3–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with four unanswered goals — Colton's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Nichushkin's goal. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
VAN 1.5 xG · 21 shots
COL 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.1
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 00:24 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 02:44 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 04:23 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:57 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:19 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Ross Colton · 3rd 08:43 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · OT 00:30 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 16.
VAN 16%COL 84%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 00:24 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 02:44 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 04:23 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:57 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:19 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Ross Colton · 3rd 08:43 · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · OT 00:30 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.