VAN
4–2
NSH
Final · W
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 1-0
4–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
0411037421
NSH
1617011224
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Canucks lead the series 1–0
VAN 1-0 · NSH 0-1 · Game 1 — the Canucks lead the series 1–0
Canucks beat the Predators
The Canucks earned it: 2.4 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.7, on 21 and 24 shots on goal.
VAN 2.4 xG · 21 shots
NSH 1.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 16:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 00:47 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:46 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 08:59 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 09:11 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 18:32 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 64.
VAN 64%NSH 36%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Canucks shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 16:15 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 00:47 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:46 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 08:59 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 09:11 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 18:32 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
