Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 38-19-6
4–3
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 26-33-4
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
21314111428
MTL
05012311328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 2–0
VGK 38-19-6 · MTL 26-33-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 2–0
Golden Knights beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Golden Knights won 4–3. Jake Allen allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
VGK 2.6 xG · 28 shots
MTL 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 12:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 19:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Reilly Smith · 2nd 07:20 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Mike Matheson · 3rd 02:04 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 07:44 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Alex Belzile · 3rd 08:07 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 08:42 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 49.
VGK 49%MTL 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 12:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 19:41 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Reilly Smith · 2nd 07:20 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Mike Matheson · 3rd 02:04 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 07:44 · GWG · 4–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Alex Belzile · 3rd 08:07 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 08:42 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Michael Amadio, Nicolas Hague · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.