VGK
4–3
DAL
Final / OT · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 9-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
0171112811437
DAL
1130721600336
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
VGK 9-3 · DAL 8-6 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.8 expected goals); the Golden Knights won it in overtime on Howden's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 37 and 36 shots on goal.
VGK 2.9 xG · 37 shots
DAL 2.8 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.5
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:44 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
William Karlsson · 2nd 09:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
William Karlsson · 3rd 01:19 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 04:01 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Teddy Blueger · 3rd 09:20 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jamie Benn · 3rd 18:01 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Brett Howden · OT 01:35 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 53.
VGK 53%DAL 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 18:44 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
William Karlsson · 2nd 09:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
William Karlsson · 3rd 01:19 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 3rd 04:01 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Teddy Blueger · 3rd 09:20 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jamie Benn · 3rd 18:01 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Brett Howden · OT 01:35 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
