Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 20-6-5
2–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 13-15-3
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
014111110235
BUF
0101849527
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
VGK 20-6-5 · BUF 13-15-3 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
Golden Knights fell to the Sabres
The Golden Knights created the better chances (4.7 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Devon Levi stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
VGK 4.7 xG · 35 shots
BUF 1.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 07:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 13:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Jack Eichel · 3rd 03:22 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 05:01 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 3rd 09:29 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:12 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 17:19 · 2–5 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 86.
VGK 86%BUF 14%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 07:42 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 13:44 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Jack Eichel · 3rd 03:22 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 05:01 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 3rd 09:29 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:12 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 17:19 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.