Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 1-0
4–2
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
09110312431
UTA
111111011233
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
VGK 1-0 · UTA 0-1 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Mammoth
The Golden Knights earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 33 shots on goal.
VGK 3.2 xG · 31 shots
UTA 1.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 19:49 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 03:44 · 1–1 · poke shot, a great chance (46%)
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 05:07 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mark Stone · 3rd 05:33 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 07:20 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 18:21 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 74.
VGK 74%UTA 26%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 19:49 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 03:44 · 1–1
Poke shot, a great chance (46%)
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 05:07 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Mark Stone · 3rd 05:33 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 07:20 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.