WSH
1–4
PIT
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 6-7-2
1–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 5-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
0701117125
PIT
01031018428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 6-7-2 · PIT 5-6-2 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Capitals lost 1–4. Casey DeSmith stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
WSH 2.5 xG · 25 shots
PIT 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 2nd 07:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brock McGinn · 2nd 12:53 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Jeff Petry · 2nd 15:05 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 12:22 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 18:24 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 47.
WSH 47%PIT 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 2nd 07:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Brock McGinn · 2nd 12:53 · SH · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Jeff Petry · 2nd 15:05 · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 12:22 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 18:24 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
