WSH
5–2
TOR
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 16-13-4
5–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 19-7-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
2141628528
TOR
11311409236
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 16-13-4 · TOR 19-7-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.3 expected goals); the Capitals won 5–2. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 28 and 36 shots on goal.
WSH 2.9 xG · 28 shots
TOR 3.3 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Gustafsson · 1st 11:12 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 13:12 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 1st 14:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Erik Gustafsson · 2nd 02:51 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 06:25 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 00:10 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Erik Gustafsson · 3rd 03:47 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 45.
WSH 45%TOR 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Gustafsson · 1st 11:12 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 13:12 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 1st 14:48 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Erik Gustafsson · 2nd 02:51 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 06:25 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 00:10 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Erik Gustafsson · 3rd 03:47 · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Auston Matthews, Alexander Kerfoot · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
