WSH
3–4
OTT
Final / OT · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 20-13-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 16-16-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
043130600323
OTT
01621711012445
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 20-13-5 · OTT 16-16-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals fell to the Senators
The Capitals let a 2–0 lead get away: the Senators came back with four unanswered goals — DeBrincat's equalizer — and won it in overtime on DeBrincat's goal. Cam Talbot allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 45 and 23 shots on goal.
WSH 2.0 xG · 23 shots
OTT 3.9 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 01:15 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 03:37 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 08:30 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 15:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 19:44 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 14:26 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · OT 01:31 · 3–4 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (35%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 23.
WSH 23%OTT 77%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 01:15 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 03:37 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 08:30 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 15:56 · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 19:44 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 14:26 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex DeBrincat · OT 01:31 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (35%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
