WSH
4–5
BUF
Final / OT · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 21-13-6
4–5
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 19-15-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
1811121102432
BUF
2111611012529
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 21-13-6 · BUF 19-15-2 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Sabres
The Capitals created the better chances (3.3 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Thompson's goal. Darcy Kuemper allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
WSH 3.3 xG · 32 shots
BUF 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 12:07 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:29 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:50 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 16:46 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 00:55 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 07:10 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tyson Jost · 3rd 11:42 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Tage Thompson · OT 03:00 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 59.
WSH 59%BUF 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:48 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 12:07 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:29 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:50 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 16:46 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 00:55 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 07:10 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tyson Jost · 3rd 11:42 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Tage Thompson · OT 03:00 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
