Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-14-6
2–3
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 18-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11417011232
NSH
290814321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 22-14-6 · NSH 18-14-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Capitals lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
WSH 2.2 xG · 32 shots
NSH 2.3 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:10 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 09:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 15:09 · 1–2 · bat shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 11:07 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 16:44 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 47.
WSH 47%NSH 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:10 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 09:52 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 15:09 · 1–2
Bat shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 11:07 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 16:44 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.