Washington Capitals
WSH · 29-26-6
6–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 33-17-9
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1841415627
NYR
1709210326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 29-26-6 · NYR 33-17-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Rangers
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.8 expected goals); the Capitals won 6–3. Igor Shesterkin allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.8, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
WSH 3.6 xG · 27 shots
NYR 3.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 04:25 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Barclay Goodrow · 1st 08:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 03:16 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 07:05 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 12:52 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 18:19 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 06:49 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 13:22 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Kaapo Kakko · 3rd 19:32 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 48.
WSH 48%NYR 52%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 04:25 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Barclay Goodrow · 1st 08:00 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 03:16 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 07:05 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 2nd 12:52 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 18:19 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 06:49 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 13:22 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Kaapo Kakko · 3rd 19:32 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.