Washington Capitals
WSH · 12-8-3
4–5
Final / SOL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 15-7-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
1621316020427
DAL
110114212021538
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 12-8-3 · DAL 15-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Stars
The Capitals let a 3–1 lead get away: the Stars came back with three unanswered goals — Hintz's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 38 and 27 shots on goal.
WSH 2.3 xG · 27 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 07:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 15:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 04:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 07:14 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 14:19 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 01:51 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:08 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roope Hintz · 3rd 13:47 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 40.
WSH 40%DAL 60%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 07:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 15:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 04:31 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 07:14 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 14:19 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 01:51 · PP · 3–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:08 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roope Hintz · 3rd 13:47 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Stars
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.