WSH
2–6
CAR
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 18-13-6
2–6
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 22-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
260407217
CAR
01018516634
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 18-13-6 · CAR 22-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals fell to the Hurricanes
The Capitals let a 2–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with 6 unanswered goals — Jarvis's equalizer — and won 2–6. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.3, on 34 and 17 shots on goal.
WSH 1.3 xG · 17 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nic Dowd · 1st 07:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 16:29 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 05:17 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:23 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 12:41 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 13:59 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 18:11 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Vasily Ponomarev · 3rd 19:01 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 19.
WSH 19%CAR 81%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nic Dowd · 1st 07:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 16:29 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 05:17 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:23 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 12:41 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 13:59 · PP · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Vasily Ponomarev · 3rd 19:01 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
