WSH
4–3
LAK
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 19-13-6
4–3
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 20-10-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
012211211434
LAK
011218112341
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 19-13-6 · LAK 20-10-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Kings
The Capitals were outchanced (4.2 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Carlson's winner came with 0:53 left. Cam Talbot allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 41 and 34 shots on goal.
WSH 2.4 xG · 34 shots
LAK 4.2 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
3rd
0.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 04:22 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 07:12 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 13:02 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 01:01 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 3rd 08:36 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
John Carlson · 3rd 19:07 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 25.
WSH 25%LAK 75%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 04:22 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 07:12 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 13:02 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 01:01 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 3rd 08:36 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
John Carlson · 3rd 19:07 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Nicolas Aube-Kubel, John Carlson · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
3rd period
7
Beck Malenstyn, Nicolas Aube-Kubel · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
