WSH
5–2
STL
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-15-6
5–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-20-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1821028526
STL
180715220
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 22-15-6 · STL 21-20-2 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Capitals won 5–2. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 26 and 20 shots on goal.
WSH 2.7 xG · 26 shots
STL 2.5 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nathan Walker · 1st 17:54 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 03:32 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 10:27 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 00:34 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Nathan Walker · 3rd 04:01 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 19:40 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 54.
WSH 54%STL 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:24 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nathan Walker · 1st 17:54 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 03:32 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 10:27 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 00:34 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Nathan Walker · 3rd 04:01 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 19:40 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
