Washington Capitals
WSH · 27-21-9
6–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 25-28-3
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
4102604620
OTT
291606321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 27-21-9 · OTT 25-28-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Senators
The Capitals earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 20 and 21 shots on goal.
WSH 2.7 xG · 20 shots
OTT 1.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 06:30 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
John Carlson · 1st 08:30 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 10:12 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Shane Pinto · 1st 12:41 · 2–2 · bat shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Max Pacioretty · 1st 18:33 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 18:47 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 01:27 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 01:58 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 10:55 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 72.
WSH 72%OTT 28%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 06:30 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
John Carlson · 1st 08:30 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 10:12 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Shane Pinto · 1st 12:41 · 2–2
Bat shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Max Pacioretty · 1st 18:33 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 18:47 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 01:27 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 01:58 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 10:55 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Anthony Mantha, Connor McMichael · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
5
Michael Sgarbossa, Connor McMichael · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/10 saves · 4 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.