WSH
6–3
PHI
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-1-0
6–3
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 1-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1638211625
PHI
0321719329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 5-1-0 · PHI 1-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Flyers
The Capitals were outchanced (3.1 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Ivan Fedotov allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 25 shots on goal.
WSH 2.5 xG · 25 shots
PHI 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.1
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.0
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 04:50 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nic Dowd · 2nd 02:49 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:04 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Connor McMichael · 2nd 07:16 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 2nd 12:04 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Owen Tippett · 2nd 16:16 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 06:36 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 17:48 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 18:50 · 6–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 39.
WSH 39%PHI 61%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 04:50 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nic Dowd · 2nd 02:49 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:04 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Connor McMichael · 2nd 07:16 · GWG · 4–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 2nd 12:04 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Owen Tippett · 2nd 16:16 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 06:36 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 17:48 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 6–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Trevor van Riemsdyk, Pierre-Luc Dubois · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
